2014 NFL Power Rankings – Week 16
Stan
The “One More Week Before I Get To Pack Up My Locker” Tier
The “Playing Spoiler” Tier
The “Excuses, Excuses” Tier
The “I Still Can’t Tell If They’re Good Or Not” Tier
The “Flawed But Watchable” Tier
The “Only Real Contenders” Tier
Rob
The “Winston or Mariota” Tier
32. Tennessee Titans
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The answer is either Marcus Mariota or neither, I haven’t decided which yet. The Bucs will probably get first dibs on the guy they want, so expect Jameis Winston to be wearing crimson and pewter next year, as he is running out of the supermarket with stolen seafood.
(Since the Pro Bowl rosters were announced this week, I will add a little note at the bottom of each tier to agree or disagree with the selections. Gerald McCoy definitely deserved it even if he is on IR, but I would have put Lavonte David in over Connor Barwin. I am perfectly fine with no Titans making the game.)
The “We Don’t Want To Draft High Because We Would Just Screw It Up Anyway” Tier
30. New York Jets
29. Jacksonville Jaguars
28. Washington Redskins
27. Oakland Raiders
Three wins and a 17-16 loss to the Patriots in this tier. That’s pretty good, especially for a group that has 13 wins combined. If the Bucs and Titans jump on quarterbacks, these four teams will be fighting over the real talent at the top of the draft.
(I think Muhammad Willkerson could go in ahead of Robert Quinn, but that isn’t a given. Sheldon Richardson also could be ahead of rookie Aaron Donald, but I could at least see him being McCoy’s replacement. Khalil Mack is pretty close to being a Pro Bowl linebacker already, expect to see him there sooner rather than later.)
The “We Were 7-4 And Staring At The Playoffs” Tier
26. Cleveland Browns
For those who haven’t been paying attention, they are now 7-8 and not string at the playoffs. This team needs to fix the quarterback position fast, and hope they are able to see another schedule as easy as their 2014 one was.
(The Browns got a respectable three players into the Pro Bowl. It could have been two more if Josh Gordon and Alex Mack didn’t lose most of their seasons.)
The “Embarassing Disappointments Of The NFC” Tier
25. Chicago Bears
24. New Orleans Saints
Both of these teams thought they had playoff runs coming their way in 2014. The Bears knew early on they weren’t good enough. The defense was as atrocious as expected, and the bar was set pretty low for that unit. The offense couldn’t even come close to what they needed to win games, not to mention the drama between the coaching staff and the immortal Jay Cutler.
The Saints didn’t do much better, finishing an embarrassing season with an embarrassing loss to the Falcons at home. The good thing is they didn’t deserve an extra game, and America didn’t deserve to have to watch them again.
(Drew Brees led the NFL in passing yards and didn’t make the Pro Bowl, but if I had to pick one quarterback to swap in, he wouldn’t be my first choice anyway.)
The “Maybe Slightly Disappointing, But At Least We Didn’t Embarrass Ourselves” Tier
23. St. Louis Rams
22. New York Giants
Yes, both of these teams thought they were playoff teams, but really they knew the talent they had. The Rams saw the division and the plan at quarterback. This season has been a pleasant surprise for them.
The Giants, however, had what was seemingly a very winnable division before the season. I think they knew Eli Manning was a bad quarterback, and they had lowered expectations because of this. Eli was pretty fantastic for the most part this season, one of his best seasons as a pro. Odell Beckham Jr. is a stud, and the team never looks lost–other than the second half of the Jaguars game.
Both these teams are probably disappointed they couldn’t pull out a few more close games, but they aren’t hopeless.
(Eli could have gotten Pro Bowl consideration if the team won a few more, and Beckham had a great rookie year that will probably have him edge out Mike Evans for Rookie of the Year. But the Giants didn’t have a true Pro Bowler on the team, and that is reflected on the game’s roster. For the Rams, Alec Ogletree could have knocked out C.J. Mosley, but the rookie may have been more consistent.)
The “Game Of The Week: Ryan Lindley In Round One Edition” Tier
21. Carolina Panthers
20. Atlanta Falcons
I have no idea why, but I will be rooting hard for the Panthers in this game. I just feel like they deserve it more, and I can’t explain why. I definitely think they are worse than the Falcons, and I think they will struggle to beat the Cardinals.
Julio Jones could probably bring the Falcons to beat the Cardinals if the teams traded quarterbacks.
Yet, I just think the NFC South deserves the Panthers to represent them. I also think it would make sense for Cam Newton to get his first playoff win in a season where the team couldn’t claw its way to .500 and Derek Anderson won two games as a starter.
(Jones and Devin Hester are all the Falcons I need in this game, and the Panthers rightfully will see only Luke Kuechly and a deserving Greg Olsen play.)
The “We Let This Season Get Away” Tier
19. Philadelphia Eagles
18. San Francisco 49ers
These two teams must be kicking themselves for letting go of their playoff chances. The Eagles started the season winning games it had no business competing in, and finished the year stumbling against good and bad teams alike. That might be the difference between having Nick Foles touch the ball on every play and Mark Sanchez doing so.
The 49ers, well, they have been in distress basically non-stop since Week 2. With the talent on that roster and the window closing, they threw away a very good chance to make another run at a championship.
(Eric Reid could have gotten in over Glover Quin or Tashaun Gipson, but I don’t know if he totally separated himself from those two. Antione Bethea also could make an argument for himself over T.J. Ward. For most teams, I can’t tell the difference between free safety and strong safety anymore, but Reid could go in over Ward too.)
The “Promising Future” Tier
17. Minnesota Vikings
16. Buffalo Bills
15. Miami Dolphins
The playoffs just weren’t in the cards for these mightily improved teams. All of them have an arrow pointing way, way up. The Bills defense is as good as any in the league, and not watching them suit up for a high stakes playoff game is a disappointment. The Vikings and Dolphins both saw huge strides from their quarterbacks, and must feel great about where they could be in 2015.
I really find it difficult to bump the Dolphins up into the top 12. They looked good at times, but suffered pretty embarrassing losses to the Ravens and Chiefs. The 37-0 blowout of the Chargers have them floating high in your Power Rankings all season.
(The Bills deservingly got Mario Williams, Marcel Dareus, and Kyle Williams into the Pro Bowl, but I hope that doesn’t overshadow a secondary and linebacking group that has been excellent all year. The Vikings didn’t have a good candidate outside of safety Harrison Smith, and the Dolphins got Cameron Wake and a super-deserving Brent Grimes in.)
The “Win And Pray” Tier
14. Kansas City Chiefs
13. Houston Texans
12. Baltimore Ravens
11. San Diego Chargers
With one spot open in the AFC, the playoff picture looks something like this. If the Chargers beat the Chiefs, they are in. If they lose, and the Ravens win, Baltimore gets in. If the Chargers and Ravens lose, but the Texans win, Houston plays on into January. The Chiefs only get in if all three teams ahead of them lose.
Now, the Texans just obliterated the Ravens, but I kept the Ravens ahead for two reasons. First, they have an easier road to the playoffs. Second, and this is the big one, I think if the Ravens were to get into the tournament, I think they would have a better shot of making a run than a Texans team led by Case Keenum, who got his first NFL win as a starter on Sunday.
Based on Sunday’s throttling, I still feel like I had to justify that decision.
(No way J.J. Watt should have gotten into the Pro Bowl over some of the snubbed defensive ends. Also, how do the Chiefs not get a receiver in? Okay fine, but really, I personally think I would have put Philip Rivers in the game over Peyton Manning. Does that make sense? Maybe not, but I feel like Rivers has just meant more to his team than Manning. Also, I would put in Antonio Gates in place of Julius Thomas, and Brandon Flowers ahead of Chris Harris. That’s right, three Broncos out, three Chargers in. That’s just how I feel.)
The “Inevitable First Round Exit” Tier
10. Cincinnati Bengals
9. Arizona Cardinals
Let’s put it this way, I can’t wait to see what the spread is for these teams’ first-round matchups.
The “Contenders” Tier
All solid teams, just not very interesting right now.
Stan and I have the same teams in order from six down to one, and deservingly so, because I can see the argument for San Diego bumping up into the top 10, even though they haven’t wrapped up a playoff spot yet.
I love the Chargers, I would take them in a heartbeat over the Bengals in round one, but the team stinks. They are scoring on the sheer tyranny of will of Philip Rivers and Philip Rivers alone. That might just be enough.
Stan, we really only have one more week of Power Rankings left, depending on what we decide to do for the playoffs.
Let me tell you, if we were doing a ranking of the best players in the NFL, these eight teams would be loaded with guys at the top of the list.
Whenever I watch games, there are moments when players seem like they could lay claim to the best in the NFL.
All those players come from this top tier (with the exception of Rivers, Julio Jones, and A.J. Green).
Want a list?
8. Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, Maurkice Pouncey, maybe LeVeon Bell.
7. Indianapolis Colts
Andrew Luck…. just Andrew Luck. Maybe T.Y. Hilton.
6. Detroit Lions
Ndamukong Suh, Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate. Almost Deandre Levy too.
5. Denver Broncos
Peyton Manning, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Von Miller, Aqib Talib.
4. Dallas Cowboys
Tony Romo, Demarco Murray, Dez Bryant, Tyron Smith.
3. Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb.
2. New England Patriots
Tom Brady, Darrelle Revis, Rob Gronkowski.
1. Seattle Seahawks
Michael Bennett, Bobby Wagner, Earl Thomas, Richard Sherman, Marshawn Lynch
What do you say stand? Got any plans to keep this going a few more weeks?
Awards ballots? Playoff picks? KIRS Top 100 Players?
Give me something, Stanley my dear. I don’t want this to end!