2014 NFL Power Rankings – Week 12
Rob made some great points last week. And I think I would suffer through another terrible season if it meant the Giants would get hot and win a Super Bowl. Here’s the problem though. I don’t want Jerry Reese running this team anymore. He doesn’t draft well and does nothing with draft picks in the later rounds. So from that aspect, I wouldn’t want them to win a Super Bowl because we’d be stuck with another few years of Jerry Reese.
[Rob’s note: As usual, I interrupted Stan’s half of the column to try to even out our sides since I went long with my power rankings. Have a happy Thanksgiving.]
Stan
The “Moral Victory” Tier
The “Nothing Much Impresses Me” Tier
The “One Piece Away…Maybe” Tier
The “Wrong Division, Wrong Year” Tier
The “Pretenders” Tier
The “Actual Contenders” Tier
Rob
The “Thankful To Have A Win” Tier
32. Jacksonville Jaguars
31. Oakland Raiders
These two teams have taken two very different paths to what could amount to a combined 2-30 record. The Jaguars getting beaten handily in eight out of their ten losses, with the outliers being a Steelers’ stinker and a two point loss the the Titans. Then right in the middle of their season they trampled the smoking hot Browns 24-6 for their lone victory.
The Raiders were able to keep most of the scores close during their 0-10 start, including one score games against the Jets, Patriots, Chargers, Seahawks, and Chargers again albeit with a few backdoor covers mixed in along the way. Their first win came as desperation was setting in, barely getting by another smoking hot AFC contender in the Chiefs this past Thursday.
Hey, at least neither of these teams will be joining the 1976 Bucs and the 2008 Lions in infamy.
The “Thankful The Season Is Almost Over” Tier
30. New York Jets
29. Tennessee Titans
It is actually a little embarrassing that Stan still has the Jets ranked so high. I don’t care what you think about the dregs of the NFC, this season has been cruel to Jets’ fans. To stick by Geno Smith despite his laughable performance, only to finally bench him after eight throws against the Bills was bad. Still, going 1-1 with Mike Vick and acting like the season was turned around, only to have him get benched against the Bills in an even uglier rematch is just downright sad.
Also the Titans stink as bad as the Jets do, they just lack Gang Green’s flair for the spectacular.
The “Thankful To Play In The Worst Division In League History” Tier
28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27. Carolina Panthers
26. Atlanta Falcons
25. New Orleans Saints
The Falcons are in first place at 4-7, with a 4-0 division record and a home win over the Saints as a tiebreaker. With each team having five games left, the chances of any team getting to seven wins is looking mighty slim, and mathematically, 5-11 could win this division if the breaks go right. Speaking of math, the 2-9 Buccaneers are neither eliminated nor would they have to win out to make the playoffs.
The good news is, some of these teams will add victories. The Bucs and Falcons each have two divisional matchups left, with the Saints and Panthers each getting one more game against each rival.
On the flip side, as if these teams didn’t have enough to worry about just trying to beat the other bad teams in the division, the other teams left on the schedule include a slew of playoff contenders, notably the Packers (Bucs and Falcons), Lions and Bengals (Bucs), Steelers (Saints and Falcons), Cardinals (Falcons), and Browns (Panthers). The only teams left on the schedule under .500 outside the NFC South are a trip to Minnesota this week for the Panthers and a trip to Chicago in week 15 for the Saints. If you’ll notice, both of those teams are ranked comfortably ahead of each NFC South team on this side of the Power Rankings.
The “Are We Horrible Or Unlucky?” Tier
24. Washington Redskins
23. New York Giants
22. Minnesota Vikings
21. Chicago Bears
These four teams are teetering between good and bad. Actually, they are going back and forth between bad and horrible, but they are still pretending they just haven’t caught any breaks. An old coach once told me “Luck is being prepared for anything at any time.” You be the judge, how many times this season have you watched one of these teams and literally thought that they couldn’t have possibly been less prepared?
The “Thankful Brett Hundley and Bryce Petty Won’t Be Top Five Picks” Tier
20. St. Louis Rams
19. Buffalo Bills
18. Houston Texans
These three teams will have offseasons headlined by one issue – they need a quarterback in a bad way. Unfortunately, all three have played themselves out of the Marcus Mariota sweepstakes, and if Jameis Winston falls that far to them they will be getting a quarterback who dropped precipitously based on teams worried about character in a post-Ray Rice NFL.
The good news is that quarterback prospects like Brett Hundley (UCLA), Bryce Petty (Baylor), Connor Cook (MSU), and Sean Mannion (ORST) could be slotted as mid-to-late first round picks.
The bad news is that there are reasons these guys aren’t surefire first rounders already, and those reasons could have these teams still looking for quarterback help in two years as their premium defenses are beginning to wane.
The “Thankful Their Seasons Weren’t Completely Derailed By The Raiders” Tier
17. Kansas City Chiefs
16. San Diego Chargers
Both of these teams put themselves in the AFC playoff picture by going on huge winning streaks and trying to ride those wins into a wild card spot. Despite all the wins, the Chargers struggled against the Raiders twice and the Chiefs actually took an L against them. Both these teams need to beat the bad teams, because they aren’t good enough to make up those wins elsewhere.
The “Thankful Everyone In The Division Has Blown Two Games” Tier
15. Cleveland Browns
14. Cincinnati Bengals
13. Baltimore Ravens
12. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers lost to the Jets and Bucs. The Ravens had the Bengals ready to fold twice and let them escape twice (even though a pretty overstated offensive pass interference by Steve Smith cost them a last second victory in the second game). The Bengals somehow tied a terrible Panthers team, giving up 37 points in the process and missing a 36 yard game winning field goal late in OT. They also laid the year’s biggest stinker in a Thursday Night Game against Cleveland. Speaking of the Browns, a horrible loss to Jacksonville stands as the worst loss for the division and isn’t helped by the fact that they had wins in their grasp against both the Steelers and the Ravens in the first three weeks of the season.
All four teams are basically tied for the division lead, with the Bengals tie keeping them a half game up on the competition.
The “Thankful We Have 8 Wins” Tier
11. Philadelphia Eagles
They are starting Mark Sanchez, who hasn’t totally killed the offense. And they will get Nick Foles back in case Sanchez really starts to scare them, even though Foles isn’t decidedly better.
The “Bitterly Ungrateful For Anything This Season” Tier
10. Miami Dolphins
I think this team has little to be thankful for in 2014. The coach is basically incompetent, threatening to bench Ryan Tannehill for just about no reason, only months after letting his offensive line destroy itself from the inside.
The two biggest additions from the offseason were Branden Albert and first-round pick Ju’Waun James who were brought in to fix the offensive line, both of whom went down with impactful injuries.The team has the most expensive group of receivers in the league without boasting any player who actually makes plays, leaving Tannehill to target rookie second-round pick Jarvis Landry on any big situations.
The team also spent a ton of money on inside linebackers for some strange reason, giving big money to Dannell Ellerbe and Philip Wheeler. While both players have been terrible, injured, or both, second year man Jelani Jenkins has joined Koa Misi and a pair of rookies to form a formidable group in spite of the organization’s best efforts.
At 6-5, this team will probably be on the outside looking in come playoff time, despite having played a brutal schedule with big wins over marquee teams. They played the Broncos, Lions, and Packers as tough as you can play in losses, coming up short by only 10 points total in games that all included late comebacks to take them down.
The “Thankful For Freakishly Athletic Defensive Players Who Are Just Plain Mean” Tier
9. San Francisco 49ers
8. Detroit Lions
7. Arizona Cardinals
6. Seattle Seahawks
These four teams are employing what seems to be about 90% of the league’s most incredible athletes on the defensive side of the ball. Actually, you could make a case that the All-Pro team could be assembled using only players from these four teams and J.J. Watt, especially if you include the All-Pro type guys who missed huge swaths of time due to suspension and injury.
Seriously, grab a guy or two off the Bills’ front four, then toss in Justin Houston, Cameron Wake, and Darrelle Revis. If you like 4-3 linebackers from two win teams you can also grab Lavonte David.
I will go to war with guys from this tier, even if I have to give up Watt. How bout it Stan, do you think you can put together a better defense using the other 28 teams than I can with these four?
(Also, are there more Pro Bowl defensive players in the NFC West than the other seven divisions combined?)
The “Thankful For Rules That Are Biased Toward The Offense” Tier
5. Dallas Cowboys
4. Indianapolis Colts
3. Denver Broncos
2. Green Bay Packers
1. New England Patriots
This is self-explanatory. These five teams employ five high level quarterbacks. Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, and Andrew Luck are almost definitely the top four. Don’t sleep on Tony Romo, but he has at least a claim on the fifth spot, fighting Drew Brees, Philip Rivers, and Ben Roethlisberger for that spot. I don’t know if there is another quarterback in that conversation.
The similarities in this tier don’t stop there. They all have offensive lines that range from excellent to playing really well. They each have at least one outrageous receiving option, with some having two and all of them having at least four above average players to get the ball to.
In other years, all that talent doesn’t matter, but the more protection these guys get, the harder it will become for defenses like the 2013 Seahawks to sustain success without also deploying at minimum an efficient offense.